Scientific Publications
In Review
Aguilar, J. E., Bürkner, P. C. (in review). Dependency-Aware Shrinkage Priors for High Dimensional Regression. ArXiv preprint. Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Aguilar, J. E., Kohns, D., Vehtari, A., Bürkner, P. C. (in review). R2 priors for Grouped Variance Decomposition in High-dimensional Regression. ArXiv preprint. Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Bockting, F., Bürkner, P. C. (in review). elicito: A Python Package for Expert Prior Elicitation. ArXiv preprint. Preprint Software BibTeX
Fazio, L., Scholz, M., Aguilar, J. E., Bürkner, P. C. (in review). Primed Priors for Simulation-Based Validation of Bayesian Models. ArXiv preprint. Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Jedhoff, S., Semenova, E., Raulo, A., Meyer, A., Bürkner, P. C. (in review). From Mice to Trains: Amortized Bayesian Inference on Graph Data. ArXiv preprint. Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Jedhoff, S., Kutabi, H., Meyer, A., Bürkner, P. C. (in review). Efficient Uncertainty Propagation in Bayesian Two-Step Procedures. ArXiv preprint. Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Kucharský, Š., Bürkner, P. C. (in review). Amortized Bayesian Mixture Models. ArXiv preprint. Preprint BibTeX
Kucharský, Š., Mishra, A., Habermann, D., Radev, S. T., Bürkner, P. C. (in review). Improving the Accuracy of Amortized Model Comparison with Self-Consistency. ArXiv preprint. Short version accepted at NeurIPS Workshop on Reliable Machine Learning from Unreliable Data. Preprint BibTeX
Kühmichel, L., Huang, J. M., Pratz, V., Arruda, J., Olischläger, H., Habermann, D., Kucharský, Š., Elsemüller, L., Mishra, A., Bracher, N., Jedhoff, S., Schmitt, M., Bürkner, P. C., Radev, S. T. (in review). BayesFlow 2.0: Multi-Backend Amortized Bayesian Inference in Python. ArXiv preprint. Preprint Software Code BibTeX
Bracher, N., Kühmichel, L., Ivanova, D. R., Intes, X., Bürkner, P. C., Radev, S. T. (in review). JADAI: Jointly Amortizing Adaptive Design and Bayesian Inference. ArXiv preprint. Preprint BibTeX
Modrák, M., Stroppel, S., Bürkner, P. C. (in review). Simulation-based validation of Bayes factor computation. ArXiv preprint. Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Mukherjee, S., Aguilar, J. E., Zago, M., Claassen, M., Bürkner, P. C. (in review). Latent variable estimation with composite Hilbert space Gaussian processes. ArXiv preprint. Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Mukherjee, S., Claassen, M., Bürkner, P. C. (in review). Hilbert space methods for approximating multi-output latent variable Gaussian processes. ArXiv preprint. Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Reiser, P., Bürkner, P. C., Guthke, A. (in review). Bayesian Surrogate Training on Multiple Data Sources: A Hybrid Modeling Strategy. ArXiv preprint. Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Schmitt, M., Hikida, Y., Radev, S. T., Sadlo, F., Bürkner, P. C. (in review). The Simplex Projection: Lossless Visualization of 4D Compositional Data on a 2D Canvas. ArXiv preprint. Preprint Software BibTeX
Scholz, M., Bürkner, P. C. (in review). Posterior accuracy and calibration under misspecification in Bayesian generalized linear models. ArXiv preprint. Preprint Software Code & Data BibTeX
Nalborczyk, L., Bürkner, P. C. (in review). Precise temporal localisation of M/EEG effects with Bayesian generalised additive multilevel models. biorXiv preprint. Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Bignardi, G., Kievit, R. A., Bürkner, P. C. (in review). A general method for estimating reliability using Bayesian Measurement Uncertainty. PsyArXiv preprint. Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Revathe, T., Weidling, M. T., Utami-Atmoko, S. S., Setia, T. M., Razik, I., van Schaik, C. P., Whiten, A., Bürkner, P. C., Schuppli, C. (in review). Eight years of social and asocial learning synergistically shape orangutan diet profiles. biorXiv preprint. Preprint BibTeX
Schulze, L., Bohländer, J., Bürkner, P. C., Röpke, S., Renneberg, B., Zetsche, U. (in review). Negligible associations between cognitive control of negative information and daily emotion regulation in borderline personality disorder and major depression. PsyArXiv preprint. Preprint BibTeX
Hu, N., Bürkner, P. C., Arvaniti, A. (in review). A tutorial on Bayesian multivariate linear mixed-effect regression using brms. PsyArXiv preprint. Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Bürkner, P. C., Gabry, J., Kay, M., Vehtari, A. (in review). posterior: Tools for Working with Posterior Distributions in R. Local preprint. PDF Software BibTeX
Accepted
Bürkner, P. C., Schmitt, M., Radev, S. T. (accepted). Simulations in Statistical Workflows. Philosophical Transactions A. Preprint BibTeX
Mishra, A., Habermann, D., Schmitt, M., Radev, S. T., Bürkner, P. C. (accepted). Robust Amortized Bayesian Inference with Self-Consistency Losses on Unlabeled Data. International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR). Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Schmitt, M., Bürkner, P. C., Köthe, U., Radev, S. T. (accepted). Detecting Model Misspecification in Amortized Bayesian Inference with Neural Networks: An Extended Investigation. International Journal of Computer Vision. Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Zetsche, U., Bohländer, J., Bürkner, P. C., Röpke, S., Renneberg, B., Schulze, L. (accepted). Beyond feeling down: Expectations about and memories of daily affective experiences in major depression and borderline personality disorder. Clinical Psychological Science. Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
2026
Li, C., Vehtari, A., Bürkner, P. C., Radev, S. T., Acerbi, L., Schmitt, M. (2026). Amortized Bayesian Workflow. Transactions in Machine Learning Research. PDF Journal Preprint Code BibTeX
Scheurer, S., Reiser, P., Brünnette, T., Nowak, W., Guthke, A., Bürkner, P. C. (2026). Uncertainty-Aware Surrogate-based Amortized Bayesian Inference for Computationally Expensive Models. Transactions in Machine Learning Research. PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Säilynoja, T., Schmitt, M., Bürkner, P. C., Vehtari, A. (2026). Posterior SBC: Simulation-Based Calibration Checking Conditional on Data. Statistics and Computing. doi:10.1007/s11222-026-10825-9 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Kołczyńska, M., Bürkner, P. C. (2026). Does political trust strengthen democracy?. International Political Science Review. doi:10.1177/01925121251405191 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
2025
Aguilar, J. E., Bürkner, P. C. (2025). Generalized Decomposition Priors on R2. Bayesian Analysis. doi:10.1214/25-BA1524 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Bockting, F., Radev, S. T., Bürkner, P. C. (2025). Expert-elicitation method for non-parametric joint priors using normalizing flows. Statistics and Computing. doi:0.1007/s11222-025-10665-z PDF Journal Preprint Code Data BibTeX
Fazio, L., Bürkner, P. C. (2025). Gaussian distributional structural equation models: A framework for modeling latent heteroscedasticity. Multivariate Behavioral Research. doi:10.1080/00273171.2025.2483252 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Habermann, D., Schmitt, M., Kühmichel, L., Bulling, A., Radev, S. T., Bürkner, P. C. (2025). Amortized Bayesian Multilevel Models. Bayesian Analysis. doi:10.1214/25-BA1570 PDF Journal Preprint BibTeX
Mukherjee, S., Claassen, M., Bürkner, P. C. (2025). DGP-LVM: Derivative Gaussian process latent variable models. Statistics and Computing. doi:10.1007/s11222-025-10644-4 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Reiser, P., Aguilar, J. E., Guthke, A., Bürkner, P. C. (2025). Uncertainty Quantification and Propagation in Surrogate-based Bayesian Inference. Statistics and Computing. doi:10.1007/s11222-025-10597-8 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Scholz, M., Bürkner, P. C. (2025). Prediction can be safely used as a proxy for explanation in causally consistent Bayesian generalized linear models. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation. doi:10.1080/00949655.2024.2449534 PDF Journal Preprint Software Code & Data BibTeX
Elsemüller, L., Pratz, V., von Krause, M., Voss, A., Bürkner, P. C., Radev, S. T. (2025). Does Unsupervised Domain Adaptation Improve the Robustness of Amortized Bayesian Inference? A Systematic Evaluation. Transactions in Machine Learning Research. PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Magnusson, M., Torgander, J., Bürkner, P. C., Zhang, L., Carpenter, B., Vehtari, A. (2025). posteriordb: Testing, Benchmarking and Developing Bayesian Inference Algorithms. Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS) Conference Proceedings. PDF Conference Preprint Software BibTeX
Dubova, M., Chandramouli, S., Gigerenzer, G., Wagenmarkers, E. J., Bürkner, P. C., Sloman, S. (2025). Is Occam’s razor losing its edge? New perspectives on the principle of model parsimony. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS). doi:10.1073/pnas.2401230121 PDF Journal Preprint BibTeX
Kucharský, Š., Bürkner, P. C. (2025). Amortized Bayesian Cognitive Modeling with BayesFlow. PsyArXiv preprint. doi:10.31234/osf.io/34k6q_v1 Preprint Website Code & Data BibTeX
Shi, L., Bürkner, P. C., Bulling, A. (2025). ActionDiffusion: An Action-aware Diffusion Model for Procedure Planning in Instructional Videos. IEEE/CVF Winter Conference on Applications of Computer Vision (WACV). PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Ingram, D. J., Froese, G. Z. L., Carroll, D., Bürkner, P. C., Abernethy, K., Coad, L. (2025). Regional patterns of wild animal hunting in African tropical forests. Nature Sustainability. doi:10.1038/s41893-024-01494-5 PDF Journal BibTeX
Bagaïni, A., Liu, Y., Kapoor, M., Son, G., Bürkner, P. C., Tisdall, L., Mata, R. (2025). Comparing the Temporal Stability and Convergent Validity of Risk Preference Measures: A Meta-Analytic Approach. Nature Human Behavior. doi:10.1038/s41562-024-02085-2 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Revathe, T., Mundry, R., Utami-Atmoko, S. S., Aprilla, T. U., van Noordwijk, M. A., Fröhlich, M., Bürkner, P. C., Schuppli, C. (2025). Sumatran orangutan mothers differ in the extent and trajectory of their expression of maternal behaviour. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. doi:10.1098/rspb.2025.0443 PDF Journal Preprint BibTeX
Coretta, S., Bürkner, P. C. (2025). Bayesian beta regressions with brms in R: A tutorial for phoneticians. Journal of Phonetics. doi:10.1016/j.wocn.2025.101455 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
2024
Bockting, F., Radev, S. T., Bürkner, P. C. (2024). Simulation-Based Prior Knowledge Elicitation for Parametric Bayesian Models. Scientific Reports. doi:10.1038/s41598-024-68090-7 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Schmitt, M., Pratz, V., Köthe, U., Bürkner, P. C., Radev, S. T. (2024). Consistency Models for Scalable and Fast Simulation-Based Inference. Proceedings of the Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS). PDF Conference Preprint BibTeX
Schmitt, M., Ivanova, D. R., Habermann, D., Köthe, U., Bürkner, P. C., Radev, S. T. (2024). Leveraging Self-Consistency for Data-Efficient Amortized Bayesian Inference. Proceedings of the International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML). PDF Conference Preprint BibTeX
Kallioinen, N., Paananen, T., Bürkner, P. C., Vehtari, A. (2024). Detecting and diagnosing prior and likelihood sensitivity with power-scaling. Statistics and Computing. doi:10.1007/s11222-023-10366-5 PDF Journal Preprint Software Code & Data BibTeX
Elsemüller, L., Olischläger, H., Schmitt, M., Bürkner, P. C., Köthe, U., Radev, S. T. (2024). Sensitivity-Aware Amortized Bayesian Inference. Transactions in Machine Learning Research. PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Elsemüller, L., Schnuerch, M., Bürkner, P. C., Radev, S. T. (2024). A Deep Learning Method for Comparing Bayesian Hierarchical Models. Psychological Methods. doi:10.1037/met0000645 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Huber, F., Bürkner, P. C., Göddeke, D., Schulte, M. (2024). Knowledge-based modeling of simulation behavior for Bayesian optimization. Computational Mechanics. doi:10.1007/s00466-023-02427-3 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
Raulo, A., Bürkner, P. C., Dale, J., English, H., Finerty, G., Lamberth, C., Firth, J. A., Coulson, T., Knowles, S. (2024). Social and environmental transmission spread different sets of gut microbes in wild mice. Nature Ecology & Evolution. doi:10.1038/s41559-024-02381-0 PDF Journal Preprint Code Data BibTeX
Kołczyńska, M., Bürkner, P. C., Kennedy, L., Vehtari, A. (2024). Trust in state institutions in Europe, 1989-2019. Survey Research Methods. doi:10.18148/srm/2024.v18i1.8119 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Lingel, H., Bürkner, P. C., Melchers, K. G., Schulte, N. (2024). Measuring Personality When Stakes Are High: Are Graded Paired Comparisons a More Reliable Alternative to Traditional Forced-Choice Methods?. Organizational Research Methods. doi:10.1177/10944281241279790 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Schmitt, M., Radev, S. T., Bürkner, P. C. (2024). Fuse It or Lose It: Deep Fusion for Multimodal Simulation-Based Inference. ArXiv preprint. doi:10.48550/arXiv.2311.10671 PDF Preprint BibTeX
Revathe, T., Mundry, R., Atmoko, S. S. U., Bürkner, P. C., van Noordwijk, M. A., Schuppli, C. (2024). Maternal behavior in Sumatran orangutans (Pongo abelii) is modulated by mother-offspring characteristics and socioecological factors. International Journal of Primatology. doi:10.1007/s10764-024-00435-5 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Schmitt, M., Ewendt, F., Kluttig, A., Mikolajczyk, R., Kraus, B., Waetjen, W., Bürkner, P. C., Stangl, G., Föller, M. (2024). Smoking is associated with increased eryptosis, suicidal erythrocyte death, in a large population-based cohort. Scientific Reports. doi:10.1038/s41598-024-53258-y PDF Journal BibTeX
Garcia-Argibay, M., Bürkner, P. C., Lichtenstein, P., Zhang, L., D’Onofrio, B. M., Andell, P., Chang, Z., Cortese, S., Larsson, H. (2024). Methylphenidate and Short-Term Cardiovascular Risk. JAMA Network Open. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.1349 PDF Journal BibTeX
Schulte, N., Kaup, L., Bürkner, P. C., Holling, H. (2024). The Fakeability of Personality Measurement with Graded Paired Comparisons. Journal of Business and Psychology. doi:10.1007/s10869-024-09931-0 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Zetsche, U., Neumann, P., Bürkner, P. C., Renneberg, B., Koster, E. H. W., Hoorelbeke, K. (2024). Computerized Cognitive Training to Reduce Rumination in Major Depression: A Randomized Controlled Trial. Behaviour Research and Therapy. doi:10.1016/j.brat.2024.104521 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Bolzenkötter, T., Bürkner, P. C., Zetsche, U., Schulze, L. (2024). Assessing the Immediate Effects of Detached Mindfulness on Repetitive Negative Thinking and Affect in Daily Life: A Randomized Controlled Trial. Mindfulness. doi:10.1007/s12671-024-02350-5 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Whitridge, J. W., Huff, M. J., Ozubko, J. D., Bürkner, P. C., Lahey, C. D., Fawcett, J. M. (2024). Singing does not necessarily improve memory more than reading aloud: An empirical and meta-analytic investigation. Experimental Psychology. doi:10.1027/1618-3169/a000614 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
2023
Bürkner, P. C., Scholz, M., Radev, S. T. (2023). Some models are useful, but how do we know which ones? Towards a unified Bayesian model taxonomy. Statistics Surveys. doi:10.1214/23-SS145 PDF Journal Preprint BibTeX
Bürkner, P. C., Kröker, I., Oladyshkin, S., Nowak, W. (2023). A fully Bayesian sparse polynomial chaos expansion approach with joint priors on the coefficients and global selection of terms. Journal of Computational Physics. doi:10.1016/j.jcp.2023.112210 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data Talk BibTeX
Radev, S. T., Schmitt, M., Pratz, V., Picchini, U., Köthe, U., Bürkner, P. C. (2023). JANA: Jointly Amortized Neural Approximation of Complex Bayesian Models. Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI) Conference Proceedings. PDF Conference Preprint Code & Data Talk BibTeX
Aguilar, J. E., Bürkner, P. C. (2023). Intuitive Joint Priors for Bayesian Linear Multilevel Models: The R2D2M2 prior. Electronic Journal of Statistics. doi:10.1214/23-EJS2136 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data Talk BibTeX
Schmitt, M., Radev, S. T., Bürkner, P. C. (2023). Meta-Uncertainty in Bayesian Model Comparison. Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS) Conference Proceedings. PDF Conference Preprint Code & Data Talk BibTeX
Schmitt, M., Bürkner, P. C., Köthe, U., Radev, S. T. (2023). Detecting Model Misspecification in Amortized Bayesian Inference with Neural Networks. Proceedings of the German Conference on Pattern Recognition (GCPR). doi:10.1007/978-3-031-54605-1_35 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data Talk BibTeX
Schumacher, L., Bürkner, P. C., Voss, A., Köthe, U., Radev, S. T. (2023). Neural Superstatistics: A Bayesian Method for Estimating Dynamic Models of Cognition. Scientific Reports. doi:10.1038/s41598-023-40278-3 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Modrák, M., Moon, A. H., Kim, S., Bürkner, P. C., Huurre, N., Faltejsková, K., Gelman, A., Vehtari, A. (2023). Simulation-Based Calibration Checking for Bayesian Computation: The Choice of Test Quantities Shapes Sensitivity. Bayesian Analysis. doi:10.1214/23-BA1404 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Perini, L., Bürkner, P. C., Klami, A. (2023). Estimating the Contamination Factor’s Distribution in Unsupervised Anomaly Detection. Proceedings of the International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML). PDF Conference Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Riutort-Mayol, G., Bürkner, P. C., Andersen, M. R., Solin, A., Vehtari, A. (2023). Practical Hilbert space approximate Bayesian Gaussian processes for probabilistic programming. Statistics and Computing. doi:10.1007/s11222-022-10167-2 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Mikkola, P., Martin, O., Chandramouli, S., Bürkner, P. C., Klami, A. (2023). Prior knowledge elicitation: The past, present, and future. Bayesian Analysis. doi:10.1214/23-BA1381 PDF Journal Preprint BibTeX
Radev, S. T., Schmitt, M., Schumacher, L., Elsemüller, L., Pratz, V., Schälte, Y., Köthe, U., Bürkner, P. C. (2023). BayesFlow: Amortized Bayesian Workflows With Neural Networks. Journal of Open Source Software. doi:10.21105/joss.05702 PDF Journal Preprint Software BibTeX
Rodriguez, J. E., Williams, D. R., Bürkner, P. C. (2023). Heterogeneous Heterogeneity by Default: Testing Categorical Moderators in Random-effects Meta-Analysis. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology. doi:10.1111/bmsp.12299 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Kołczyńska, M., Bürkner, P. C. (2023). Modeling public opinion over time: A simulation study of latent trend models. Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology. doi:10.1093/jssam/smad024 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Shi, L., Bürkner, P. C., Bulling, A. (2023). Inferring Human Intentions from Predicted Action Probabilities. ArXiv preprint. doi:10.48550/arXiv.2308.12194 PDF Preprint BibTeX
Arslan, R. C., Blake, K., Botzet, L., Bürkner, P. C., DeBruine, L. M., Fiers, T., Stern, J. (2023). Not within spitting distance: salivary immunoassays of estradiol have subpar validity for cycle phase. Psychoneuroendocrinology. doi:10.1016/j.psyneuen.2022.105994 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Zetsche, U., Bürkner, P. C., Bohländer, J., Renneberg, B., Röpke, S., Schulze, L. (2023). Daily Emotion Regulation in Major Depression and Borderline Personality Disorder. Clinical Psychological Science. doi:10.1177/21677026231160709 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Danböck, S. K., Franke, L. K., Miedl, S. F., Liedlgruber, M., Bürkner, P. C., Wilhelm, F. H. (2023). Experimental Manipulations and Multi-Domain Measures of Negative Affect and Pain Are Linked to Peritraumatic Dissociation. Behaviour Research and Therapy. doi:10.1016/j.brat.2023.104289 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Zhang, J., Bürkner, P. C., Kiesel, A., Dignath, D. (2023). How Emotional Stimuli Modulate Cognitive Control: A Meta-Analytic Review of Studies With Conflict Tasks. Psychological Bulletin. doi:10.1037/bul0000389 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
Ewendt, F., Schmitt, M., Kluttig, A., Kühn, J., Bürkner, P. C., Föller, M., Stangl, G. I. (2023). Association between vitamin D status and eryptosis – results from the German National Cohort Study. Annals of Hematology. doi:10.1007/s00277-023-05239-w PDF Journal BibTeX
2022
Bürkner, P. C. (2022). On the information obtainable from comparative judgments. Psychometrika. doi:10.1007/s11336-022-09843-z PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Säilynoja, T., Bürkner, P. C., Vehtari, A. (2022). Graphical Test for Discrete Uniformity and its Applications in Goodness of Fit Evaluation and Multiple Sample Comparison. Statistics and Computing. doi:10.1007/s11222-022-10090-6 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Catalina, A., Bürkner, P. C., Vehtari, A. (2022). Projection Predictive Inference for Generalized Linear and Additive Multilevel Models. Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS) Conference Proceedings. PDF Conference Preprint Software BibTeX
Pavone, F., Piironen, J., Bürkner, P. C., Vehtari, A. (2022). Using reference models in variable selection. Computational Statistics. doi:10.1007/s00180-022-01231-6 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Schad, D. J., Nicenboim, B., Bürkner, P. C., Betancourt, M., Vasishth, S. (2022). Workflow Techniques for the Robust Use of Bayes Factors. Psychological Methods. doi:10.1037/met0000472 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Heck, D., Boehm, U., Böing-Messing, F., Bürkner, P. C., Hoijtink, H. (2022). A Review of Applications of the Bayes Factor in Psychological Research. Psychological Methods. doi:10.1037/met0000454 PDF Journal Preprint BibTeX
Malén, T., Karjalainen, T., Isojärvi, J., Vehtari, A., Bürkner, P. C., Nummenmaa, L. (2022). Age and sex dependent variability of type 2 dopamine receptors in the human brain: A large-scale PET cohort. NeuroImage. doi:10.1016/j.neuroimage.2022.119149 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Pluhackova, K., Schittny, V., Bürkner, P. C., Siligan, C., Horner, A. (2022). Multiple Pore Lining Residues modulate Water Permeability of GlpF. Protein Science. doi:10.1002/pro.4431 PDF Journal BibTeX
George, J. P., Bürkner, P. C., Sanders, T., Neumann, M., Cammalleri, C., Vogt, J., Lang, M. (2022). Long-term forest monitoring unravels constant mortality rise in European forests. Plant Biology. doi:10.1111/plb.13469 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
Seaton, F. M., Robinson, D. A., Monteith, D., Lebron, I., Bürkner, P. C., Tomlinson, S., Emmett, B. A., Smart, S. M. (2022). Fifty years of reduction in sulphur deposition drives recovery in soil pH and plant communities. Journal of Ecology. doi:10.1111/1365-2745.14039 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Franke, L. K., Miedl, S. F., Danböck, S. K., Lohse, J., Liedlgruber, M., Bürkner, P. C., Pletzer, B., Wilhelm, F. H. (2022). Estradiol during (analogue-)trauma: risk- or protective factor for intrusive re-experiencing?. Psychoneuroendocrinology. doi:10.1016/j.psyneuen.2022.105819 PDF Journal Preprint BibTeX
Jordon, M., Smith, P., Long, P., Bürkner, P. C., Petrokofsky, G., Willis, K. (2022). Can Regenerative Agriculture increase national soil carbon stocks? Simulated country-scale adoption of reduced tillage, cover cropping, and ley-arable integration using RothC-26.3. Science of the Total Environment. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153955 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
Jordon, M., Willis, K., Bürkner, P. C., Petrokofsky, G. (2022). Rotational grazing and multispecies herbal leys increase productivity in temperate pastoral systems – a meta-analysis. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2022.108075 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
Jordon, M., Willis, K., Bürkner, P. C., Haddaway, N., Smith, P., Petrokofsky, G. (2022). Temperate Regenerative Agriculture; a win-win for soil carbon and crop yield?. Environmental Research Letters. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac8609 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Nohe, C., Hüffmeier, J., Bürkner, P. C., Mazei, J., Sondern, D., Runte, A., Sieber, F., Hertel, G. (2022). Unethical Choice in Negotiations: A Meta-Analysis on Gender Differences and Their Moderators. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. doi:10.1016/j.obhdp.2022.104189 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
Morina, N., Seidemann, J., Andor, T., Sondern, L., Bürkner, P. C., Drenckhan, I., Buhlmann, U. (2022). The effectiveness of cognitive behavioral therapy for social anxiety disorder in routine clinical practice. Clinical Psychology & Psychotherapy. doi:10.1002/cpp.2799 PDF Journal BibTeX
Teetzen, F., Bürkner, P. C., Gregersen, S., Vincent-Höper, S. (2022). The Mediating Effects of Work Characteristics on the Relationship between Transformational Leadership and Employee Well-Being: A Meta-Analytic Investigation. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. doi:10.3390/ijerph19053133 PDF Journal BibTeX
Kołczyńska, M., Bürkner, P. C. (2022). Political trust as a cause and consequence of democracy: Longitudinal analysis of European data. SocArXiv preprint. doi:10.31235/osf.io/79dth PDF Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
2021
Bürkner, P. C. (2021). Bayesian Item Response Modelling in R with brms and Stan. Journal of Statistical Software. doi:10.18637/jss.v100.i05 PDF Journal Preprint Software BibTeX
Vehtari, A., Gelman, A., Simpson, D., Carpenter, B., Bürkner, P. C. (2021). Rank-normalization, folding, and localization: An improved Rhat for assessing convergence of MCMC (with discussion). Bayesian Analysis. doi:10.1214/20-BA1221 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Radev, S. T., D’Alessandro, M., Mertens, U. K., Voss, A., Köthe, U., Bürkner, P. C. (2021). Amortized Bayesian Model Comparison with Evidental Deep Learning. IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems. doi:10.1109/TNNLS.2021.3124052 PDF Journal Preprint Software BibTeX
Paananen, T., Piironen, J., Bürkner, P. C., Vehtari, A. (2021). Implicitly Adaptive Importance Sampling. Statistics and Computing. doi:10.1007/s11222-020-09982-2 PDF Journal Preprint Software BibTeX
Catalina, A., Bürkner, P. C., Vehtari, A. (2021). Latent space projection predictive inference. ArXiv preprint. doi:10.48550/arXiv.2109.04702 PDF Preprint Software BibTeX
Williams, D. R., Rodriguez, J. E., Bürkner, P. C. (2021). Putting Variation into Variance: Modeling Between-Study Heterogeneity in Meta-Analysis. PsyArXiv preprint. doi:10.31234/osf.io/9vkqy PDF Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Driebe, J. C., Sidari, M., Dufner, M., von der Heiden, J. M., Bürkner, P. C., Penke, L., Zietsch, B. P., Arslan, R. C. (2021). Intelligence can be detected but is not found attractive in videos and live interactions. Evolution and Human Behavior. doi:10.1016/j.evolhumbehav.2021.05.002 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Kołczyńska, M., Bürkner, P. C. (2021). Marketplace of indicators: Inconsistencies between country trends of measures of governance. Political Research Exchange. doi:10.1080/2474736X.2021.1989984 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Modrák, M., Bürkner, P. C., Sieger, T., Leos-Barajas, V., Fiser, K., Hyanek, T. (2021). Detailed disease progression of 213 patients hospitalized with Covid-19 in the Czech Republic: An exploratory analysis. PLOS ONE. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0245103 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Franke, L. K., Rattel, J. A., Miedl, S. F., Danböck, S. K., Bürkner, P. C., Wilhelm, F. H. (2021). Intrusive memories as conditioned responses to trauma cues: an empirically supported concept?. Behaviour Research and Therapy. doi:10.1016/j.brat.2021.103848 PDF Journal Preprint BibTeX
Dietel, F., Möllmann, A., Bürkner, P. C., Wilhelm, S., Buhlmann, U. (2021). Interpretation bias across body dysmorphic, social anxiety and generalized anxiety disorder – a multilevel, diffusion model account. Cognitive Therapy and Research. doi:10.1007/s10608-020-10180-7 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Stecker, J., Bürkner, P. C., Hellmann, J., Nestler, S., Back, M. (2021). First Impressions of Refugees are More Strongly Influenced by Target Cues and Perceiver Attitudes Than by Sheer Group Affiliation. Collabora: Psychology. doi:10.1525/collabra.22160 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Reynolds, J., Bürkner, P. C. (2021). Examining the Relationship Between Weapon Type and Relationship Type in American Homicides: A Bayesian Approach. Homicide Studies. doi:10.1177/1088767920976191 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Kuck, N., Cafitz, L., Bürkner, P. C., Nosthoff-Horstmann, L., Wilhelm, S., Buhlmann, U. (2021). Body dysmorphic disorder and self-esteem: A meta-analysis. BMC Psychiatry. doi:10.1186/s12888-021-03185-3 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Hoppen, L. M., Kuck, N., Bürkner, P. C., Karin, E., Wootton, B. M., Buhlmann, U. (2021). Low intensity technology-delivered cognitive behavioral therapy for obsessive-compulsive disorder: A meta-analysis. BMC Psychiatry. doi:10.1186/s12888-021-03272-5 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
Winter, B., Bürkner, P. C. (2021). Poisson regression for linguists: A tutorial introduction to modeling count data with brms. Language and Linguistics Compass. doi:10.1111/lnc3.12439 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Nohr, L., Bürkner, P. C., Ruiz, A. L., Ferrer, J. E. S., Capponi, D., Buhlmann, U. (2021). Social and cultural determinants of help-seeking in Cuba and Germany – A structural equation model approach. PsyArXiv preprint. doi:10.31234/osf.io/5tqwv PDF Preprint BibTeX
2020
Bürkner, P. C., Gabry, J., Vehtari, A. (2020). Approximate leave-future-out cross-validation for Bayesian time series models. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation. doi:10.1080/00949655.2020.1783262 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Bürkner, P. C., Gabry, J., Vehtari, A. (2020). Efficient leave-one-out cross-validation for Bayesian non-factorized normal and Student-t models. Computational Statistics. doi:10.1007/s00180-020-01045-4 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Bürkner, P. C., Charpentier, E. (2020). Modelling monotonic effects of ordinal predictors in Bayesian regression models. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology. doi:10.1111/bmsp.12195 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Bürkner, P. C. (2020). Analysing Standard Progressive Matrics (SPM-LS) with Bayesian Item Response Models. Journal of Intelligence. doi:10.3390/jintelligence8010005 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Hartmann, M., Agiashvili, G., Bürkner, P. C., Klami, A. (2020). Flexible Prior Elicitation via the Prior Predictive Distribution. Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI) Conference Proceedings. PDF Conference Preprint BibTeX
Radev, S. T., Wieschen, E. M., Voss, A., Bürkner, P. C. (2020). Amortized Bayesian Inference for Models of Cognition. International Conference on Cognitive Modelling (ICCM) Conference Proceedings. PDF Conference Preprint BibTeX
Schulte, N., Holling, H., Bürkner, P. C. (2020). Can High-Dimensional Questionnaires Resolve the Ipsativity Issue of Forced-Choice Response Formats?. Educational and Psychological Measurement. doi:10.1177/0013164420934861 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Gelman, A., Vehtari, A., Simpson, D., Bürkner, P. C., Modrák, M. (2020). Bayesian Workflow. ArXiv preprint. doi:10.48550/arXiv.2011.01808 PDF Preprint BibTeX
Paananen, T., Catalina, A., Bürkner, P. C., Vehtari, A. (2020). Group Heterogeneity Assessment for Multilevel Models. ArXiv preprint. doi:10.48550/arXiv.2005.02773 PDF Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Trempler, I., Bürkner, P. C., El-Sourani, N., Binder, E., Reker, P., Fink, G. R., Schubotz, R. (2020). Impaired context-sensitive adjustment of behaviour in Parkinson’s disease patients tested on and off medication: an fMRI study. NeuroImage. doi:10.1016/j.neuroimage.2020.116674 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
Landmeyer, N. C., Bürkner, P. C., Wiendl, H., Ruck, T., Hartung, H. P., Holling, H., Meuth, S. G., Johnen, A. (2020). Disease-modifying treatments and cognition in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: A meta-analysis. Neurology. doi:10.1212/WNL.0000000000009522 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
Dietel, F., Zache, C., Bürkner, P. C., Schulte, J., Möbius, M., Bischof, A., Wilhelm, S., Buhlmann, U. (2020). Internet-based Interpretation Bias Modification for body dissatisfaction: A three-armed randomized controlled trial. International Journal of Eating Disorders. doi:10.1002/eat.23280 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Deres, T., Bürkner, P. C., Klauke, B., Buhlmann, U. (2020). The Role of Stigma during the Course of Inpatient Psychotherapeutic Treatment in a German Sample. Clinical Psychology and Psychotherapy. doi:10.1002/cpp.2423 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
Busch, L., Utesch, T., Bürkner, P. C., Strauss, B. (2020). The Influence of Fitness-App Usage on Psychological Well-Being and Body Awareness—A Daily Diary Randomized Trial. Journal of Sport & Exercise Psychology. doi:10.1123/jsep.2019-0315 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Williams, D. R., Bürkner, P. C. (2020). Coding errors lead to unsupported conclusions: A critique of Hofmann et al. (2015). Meta-Psychology. doi:10.15626/MP.2018.872 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
Hossiep, R., Harnack, K., Bürkner, P. C. (2020). Goal setting in distributive and integrative negotiations: a meta-analysis. PsyArXiv preprint. doi:10.31234/osf.io/mkgxt PDF Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
2019
Bürkner, P. C., Schulte, N., Holling, H. (2019). On the Statistical and Practical Limitations of Thurstonian IRT Models. Educational and Psychological Measurement. doi:10.1177/0013164419832063 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Bürkner, P. C., Vuorre, M. (2019). Ordinal Regression Models in Psychology: A Tutorial. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. doi:10.1177/2515245918823199 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Bürkner, P. C. (2019). thurstonianIRT: Thurstonian IRT Models in R. Journal of Open Source Software. doi:10.21105/joss.01662 PDF Journal Software BibTeX
Chen, G., Bürkner, P. C., Taylor, P. A., Li, Z., Yin, L., Glen, D. R., Kinnison, J. K., Cox, R. W., Pessoa, L. (2019). An Integrative Approach to Matrix-Based Analyses in Neuroimaging Connectomics. Human Brain Mapping. doi:10.1002/hbm.24686 PDF Journal Preprint BibTeX
Nalborczyk, L., Batailler, C., Loevenbruck, H., Vilain, A., Bürkner, P. C. (2019). An Introduction to Bayesian Multilevel Models Using brms: A Case Study of Gender Effects on Vowel Variability in Standard Indonesian. Journal of Speech, Language, and Hearing Research. doi:10.1044/2018_JSLHR-S-18-0006 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Zetsche, U., Bürkner, P. C., Renneberg, B. (2019). Future expectations in clinical depression: biased or realistic?. Journal of Abnormal Psychology. doi:10.1037/abn0000452 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Nalborczyk, L., Bürkner, P. C., Williams, D. (2019). Pragmatism should not be a substitute for statistical literacy, a commentary on Albers, Kiers, and van Ravenzwaaij (2018). Collabora: Psychology. doi:10.1525/collabra.197 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Beisemann, M., Forthmann, B., Bürkner, P. C., Holling, H. (2019). Psychometric evaluation of an alternate scoring for the remote associates test. The Journal of Creative Behavior. PDF Journal BibTeX
Forthmann, B., Bürkner, P. C., Benedek, M., Szardenings, C., Holling, H. (2019). A New Perspective on the Multidimensionality of Divergent Thinking Tasks. Frontiers in Psychology: Cognition. doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2019.00985 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Schuler, B. A., Binnewies, C., Bürkner, P. C. (2019). The Relationship Between Job Crafting, Work Engagement, and Performance: A Meta-Analysis. PsyArXiv preprint. doi:10.31234/osf.io/xpf2v PDF Preprint BibTeX
2018
Bürkner, P. C., Schwabe, S., Holling, H. (2018). Optimal Designs for the Generalized Partial Credit Model. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology. doi:10.1111/bmsp.12148 PDF Journal Preprint BibTeX
Bürkner, P. C. (2018). Advanced Bayesian Multilevel Modeling with the R Package brms. The R Journal. doi:10.32614/RJ-2018-017 PDF Journal Preprint Software Code BibTeX
Johnen, A., Bürkner, P. C., Landmeyer, N. C., Salmen, A. (2018). Can we predict cognitive decline after initial diagnosis of multiple sclerosis? – Results from the German National early MS cohort (KKNMS). Journal of Neurology. doi:10.1007/s00415-018-9142-y PDF Journal BibTeX
Quante, L., Kluger, S., Bürkner, P. C., Ekman, M., Schubotz, R. (2018). Graph measures in task-based fMRI: functional integration during read-out of visual and auditory information. PLOS ONE. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0207119 PDF Journal BibTeX
Zetsche, U., Bürkner, P. C., Schulze, L. (2018). Shedding light on the association between repetitive negative thinking and deficits in cognitive control – a meta-analysis. Clinical Psychology Review. doi:10.1016/j.cpr.2018.06.001 PDF Journal Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Rathgeber, M., Bürkner, P. C., Schiller, E. M., Holling, H. (2018). The Efficacy of Emotionally Focused Therapy and Behavioral Couples Therapy: A Meta-Analysis. Journal of Marital and Family Therapy. doi:10.1111/jmft.12336 PDF Journal BibTeX
Schneider, I., Kugel, H., Redlich, R., Grotegerd, D., Bürger, C., Bürkner, P. C., Dannlowski, U., Hohoff, C. (2018). Association of serotonin transporter gene AluJb methylation with major depression, amygdala responsiveness, 5-HTTLPR/rs25531 polymorphism, and stress. Neuropsychopharmacology. doi:10.1038/npp.2017.273 PDF Journal BibTeX
Reinhold, M., Bürkner, P. C., Holling, H. (2018). Effects of Expressive Writing on Depressive Symptoms – A Meta-Analysis. Clinical Psychology: Science and Practice. doi:10.1111/cpsp.12224 PDF Journal BibTeX
Zhou, T., Popescu, S. C., Lawing, A. M., Eriksson, M., Strambu, B., Bürkner, P. C. (2018). Bayesian and classical machine learning methods: A comparison for tree species classification with LiDAR waveform signatures. Remote Sensing. doi:10.3390/rs10010039 PDF Journal BibTeX
Schulze, L., Bürkner, P. C., Bohländer, J., Zetsche, U. (2018). Cognitive control and daily affect regulation in major depression and borderline personality disorder: protocol for an experimental ambulatory assessment study in Berlin, Germany. BMJ Open. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2018-022694 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
Arslan, R. C., Willführ, K. P., Frans, E. M., Verweij, K. J. H., Bürkner, P. C., Myrskylä, M., Voland, E., Almqvist, C., Brendan, P., Zietsch, B. P., Penke, L. (2018). Relaxed selection and mutation accumulation are best studied empirically: Reply to a comment by Woodley et al.. Proceedings of the Royal Society B. doi:10.1098/rspb.2018.0092 PDF Journal BibTeX
Williams, D. R., Rast, P., Bürkner, P. C. (2018). Bayesian Meta-Analysis with Weakly Informative Prior Distributions. PsyArXiv preprint. doi:10.31234/osf.io/7tbrm PDF Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
Fleischer, C., Doebler, P., Bürkner, P. C., Holling, H. (2018). Adventure therapy effects on self-concept – A meta-analysis. PsyArXiv preprint. doi:10.31234/osf.io/c7y9a PDF Preprint Code & Data BibTeX
2017
Bürkner, P. C. (2017). brms: An R Package for Bayesian Multilevel Models using Stan. Journal of Statistical Software. doi:10.18637/jss.v080.i01 PDF Journal Software BibTeX
Bürkner, P. C., Williams, D. R., Simmons, T. C., Woolley, J. D. (2017). Intranasal oxytocin may improve high-level social cognition in schizophrenia, but not social cognition or neurocognition in general: A multi-level Bayesian meta-analysis. Schizophrenia Bulletin. doi:10.1093/schbul/sbx053 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
Bürkner, P. C., Bittner, N., Holling, H., Buhlmann, U. (2017). D-Cycloserine Augmentation of Behavior Therapy for Anxiety and Obsessive-Compulsive Disorders: A Meta-Analysis. PLOS ONE. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0173660 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
Carlsson, R., Schimmack, U., Williams, D. R., Bürkner, P. C. (2017). Bayes Factors From Pooled Data Are No Substitute for Bayesian Meta-Analysis: Commentary on Scheibehenne, Jamil, and Wagenmakers (2016). Psychological Science. doi:10.1177/0956797616684682 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
Arslan, R. C., Willführ, K. P., Frans, E. M., Verweij, K. J. H., Bürkner, P. C., Myrskylä, M., Voland, E., Almqvist, C., Brendan, P., Zietsch, B. P., Penke, L. (2017). Older fathers’ children have lower evolutionary fitness across four centuries and in four populations. Proceedings of the Royal Society B. doi:10.1098/rspb.2017.1562 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
Johnen, A., Landmeyer, N. C., Bürkner, P. C., Wiendl, H., Meuth, S. G., Holling, H. (2017). Distinct cognitive impairments in different disease courses of multiple sclerosis - A systematic review and meta-analysis. Neuroscience & Biobehavioral Reviews. doi:10.1016/j.neubiorev.2017.09.005 PDF Journal BibTeX
Williams, D. R., Carlsson, R., Bürkner, P. C. (2017). Between-litter variation in developmental studies of hormones and behavior: inflated false positives and diminished power. Frontiers in Neuroendocrinology. doi:10.1016/j.yfrne.2017.08.003 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
Williams, D. R., Bürkner, P. C. (2017). Effects of intranasal oxytocin on symptoms of schizophrenia: A multivariate Bayesian meta-analysis. Psychoneuroendocrinology. doi:10.1016/j.psyneuen.2016.10.013 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
Williams, D. R., Bürkner, P. C. (2017). Data extraction and statistical errors: A quantitative critique of Gumley et al. (2014). British Journal of Clinical Psychology. doi:10.1111/bjc.12130 PDF Journal Code & Data BibTeX
2016
Bürkner, P. C., Doebler, P., Holling, H. (2016). Optimal design of the Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney-test. Biometrical Journal. doi:10.1002/bimj.201600022 PDF Journal Preprint BibTeX
Benda, N., Bürkner, P. C., Freise, F., Holling, H., Schwabe, R. (2016). Adaptive Designs for Quantal Dose-Response Experiments with False Answers. Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice. doi:10.1080/15598608.2016.1213209 PDF Journal BibTeX