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This dataset, originally discussed in McGilchrist and Aisbett (1991), describes the first and second (possibly right censored) recurrence time of infection in kidney patients using portable dialysis equipment. In addition, information on the risk variables age, sex and disease type is provided.

Usage

kidney

Format

A data frame of 76 observations containing information on the following 7 variables.

time

The time to first or second recurrence of the infection, or the time of censoring

recur

A factor of levels 1 or 2 indicating if the infection recurred for the first or second time for this patient

censored

Either 0 or 1, where 0 indicates no censoring of recurrence time and 1 indicates right censoring

patient

The patient number

age

The age of the patient

sex

The sex of the patient

disease

A factor of levels other, GN, AN, and PKD specifying the type of disease

Source

McGilchrist, C. A., & Aisbett, C. W. (1991). Regression with frailty in survival analysis. Biometrics, 47(2), 461-466.

Examples

# \dontrun{
## performing surivival analysis using the "weibull" family
fit1 <- brm(time | cens(censored) ~ age + sex + disease,
            data = kidney, family = weibull, init = "0")
#> Compiling Stan program...
#> Start sampling
#> 
#> SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'anon_model' NOW (CHAIN 1).
#> Chain 1: 
#> Chain 1: Gradient evaluation took 2.8e-05 seconds
#> Chain 1: 1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0.28 seconds.
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#> Chain 1:                0.316 seconds (Total)
#> Chain 1: 
#> 
#> SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'anon_model' NOW (CHAIN 2).
#> Chain 2: 
#> Chain 2: Gradient evaluation took 1.7e-05 seconds
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#> SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'anon_model' NOW (CHAIN 3).
#> Chain 3: 
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#> SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'anon_model' NOW (CHAIN 4).
#> Chain 4: 
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#> Chain 4: 
summary(fit1)
#>  Family: weibull 
#>   Links: mu = log 
#> Formula: time | cens(censored) ~ age + sex + disease 
#>    Data: kidney (Number of observations: 76) 
#>   Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
#>          total post-warmup draws = 4000
#> 
#> Regression Coefficients:
#>            Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
#> Intercept      3.79      0.53     2.80     4.86 1.00     4705     3366
#> age           -0.00      0.01    -0.02     0.02 1.00     3238     2725
#> sexfemale      1.60      0.34     0.92     2.29 1.00     3304     3019
#> diseaseGN     -0.05      0.42    -0.89     0.79 1.00     2352     2804
#> diseaseAN     -0.51      0.40    -1.33     0.27 1.00     2656     2689
#> diseasePKD     1.35      0.60     0.20     2.58 1.00     2660     2954
#> 
#> Further Distributional Parameters:
#>       Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
#> shape     0.98      0.10     0.79     1.18 1.00     3751     3008
#> 
#> Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
#> and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
#> scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).
plot(fit1)



## adding random intercepts over patients
fit2 <- brm(time | cens(censored) ~ age + sex + disease + (1|patient),
            data = kidney, family = weibull(), init = "0",
            prior = set_prior("cauchy(0,2)", class = "sd"))
#> Compiling Stan program...
#> Start sampling
#> 
#> SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'anon_model' NOW (CHAIN 1).
#> Chain 1: 
#> Chain 1: Gradient evaluation took 3.2e-05 seconds
#> Chain 1: 1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0.32 seconds.
#> Chain 1: Adjust your expectations accordingly!
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#> Chain 1:                1.107 seconds (Total)
#> Chain 1: 
#> 
#> SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'anon_model' NOW (CHAIN 2).
#> Chain 2: 
#> Chain 2: Gradient evaluation took 2.3e-05 seconds
#> Chain 2: 1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0.23 seconds.
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#> Chain 3: 
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#> 
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#> Chain 4: 
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#> Chain 4: 
#> Warning: There were 3 divergent transitions after warmup. See
#> https://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
#> to find out why this is a problem and how to eliminate them.
#> Warning: Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
summary(fit2)
#> Warning: There were 3 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing adapt_delta above 0.8 may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
#>  Family: weibull 
#>   Links: mu = log 
#> Formula: time | cens(censored) ~ age + sex + disease + (1 | patient) 
#>    Data: kidney (Number of observations: 76) 
#>   Draws: 4 chains, each with iter = 2000; warmup = 1000; thin = 1;
#>          total post-warmup draws = 4000
#> 
#> Multilevel Hyperparameters:
#> ~patient (Number of levels: 38) 
#>               Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
#> sd(Intercept)     0.54      0.25     0.06     1.01 1.00      708     1145
#> 
#> Regression Coefficients:
#>            Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
#> Intercept      3.75      0.59     2.63     4.89 1.00     3565     2962
#> age           -0.00      0.01    -0.03     0.02 1.00     2214     2190
#> sexfemale      1.61      0.38     0.86     2.36 1.00     2961     2482
#> diseaseGN     -0.09      0.48    -1.01     0.84 1.00     2229     2523
#> diseaseAN     -0.51      0.46    -1.43     0.40 1.00     2274     2450
#> diseasePKD     1.00      0.71    -0.40     2.34 1.00     1869     2625
#> 
#> Further Distributional Parameters:
#>       Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
#> shape     1.12      0.16     0.84     1.45 1.00     1086     1828
#> 
#> Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
#> and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
#> scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).
plot(fit2)


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